You bid steel in March and buy it in September
The stainless cab and #4 entrances got priced on bid day and bought half a year later, and the lump sum contract has no escalation language in it.
A trade buying commodity material every week reprices on the next job. You commit a metals-heavy number once, wait two quarters, then buy equipment that can't be value engineered after the layout is stamped. The months between bid day and release day are the entire risk, and that stretch is baked into how elevator work gets procured.
The size of it
A double-digit move on the steel and stainless portion of a package that's majority material eats the job margin outright, and it doesn't surface until buyout, long after the number was committed.
Most of an elevator bid is metal: T-rails, brackets, hoistway steel, and car frame priced per foot of travel, stainless for cab walls, entrance frames and fixtures carrying nickel surcharges, and copper in the machine, traveling cable, and wiring. The number locks on bid day, but buyout can't happen until layouts are approved, often six months later. On public hard bids escalation language gets refused as policy, so that position stays unhedged the whole time. Exposure scales per foot of travel, which means the tallest building in your backlog is carrying the biggest bet. None of it appears in your numbers until the PO gets cut, one or two quarters after you committed the price.
Three moves, in order
Step 04: Estimating system
The estimate maps one to one onto the job cost codes, so variance means something the day it appears.
What else costs elevator contractors money
The same mechanism in other trades
What elevator owners ask
Elevator bid steel and stainless price went up before buyout?
The stainless cab and #4 entrances got priced on bid day and bought half a year later, and the lump sum contract has no escalation language in it.
What does it cost?
A double-digit move on the steel and stainless portion of a package that's majority material eats the job margin outright, and it doesn't surface until buyout, long after the number was committed.
What do I do first?
Split the estimate so steel, stainless, and copper-bearing items carry their own subtotals per foot of travel, and watch the metals subtotal as its own line.
What are elevator contractors supposed to be making?
Elevator runs 27% gross margin, 18% overhead and 9% net profit before taxes at $1M–$5M. The all-trade average is 7%, so this trade sits 2 points above it. The CFOS target is 12%.
Which part of the system fixes it?
The step is number 04, estimating system. The estimate maps one to one onto the job cost codes, so variance means something the day it appears. It comes from chapter 4 of CONTROL: The Construction Financial Operating System.
